Mesoscale Discussion 1154
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0716 AM CDT Thu Jul 09 2020

   Areas affected...Far Southeast Kansas...Northeast
   Oklahoma...Northwest Arkansas...Southwest Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347...

   Valid 091216Z - 091415Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage threat will likely continue from
   northeast Oklahoma into southwest Missouri over the next couple of
   hours. Northwest Arkansas may also be impacted. Weather watch
   issuance is not expected beyond the 15Z expiration time of WW.

   DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a line of strong
   thunderstorms behind its own outflow boundary from northern Oklahoma
   into far southeast Kansas. The line will continue to move
   south-southeastward this morning into a pocket of moderate
   instability from northwest Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. MLCAPE
   is estimated to be in the 1500 to 2000 J/kg range along this
   corridor and surface dewpoints are in the lower to mid 70s F. This
   combined with 0-6 km shear of 25 to 30 kt, evident on the Tulsa and
   Springfield WSR-88D VWP may be enough for an isolated wind-damage
   threat this morning. This threat could increase a bit over the next
   hour or two as surface temperatures begin to rise.

   ..Broyles.. 07/09/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   37159514 36779590 36779626 36669657 36499666 36209668
               35959650 35739611 35619558 35589487 35589439 35619372
               35759321 35879294 36169265 36419265 36779279 37149297
               37579317 37759332 37939358 37969398 37159514