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Mesoscale Discussion 1159
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0251 PM CDT Thu Jul 09 2020
Areas affected...eastern Iowa...southern Wisconsin...northern
Illinois
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 348...
Valid 091951Z - 092145Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 348
continues.
SUMMARY...A threat of severe wind gusts and marginal hail continues
across watch 348, and may spread east into southern Wisconsin and
northern Illinois, necessitating another watch.
DISCUSSION...An impressive flourish of storms near the meso-low/MCV
has produced several measured severe gusts over IA. The primary low
is now intersecting the east-west oriented outflow boundary over
southern WI and far southeast MN, with cooler air to the north
likely reducing wind potential. That said, this outflow boundary may
stall and mix out, with a resurgence of larger SBCAPE northward into
WI this evening.
While the MCV is moving relatively slowly east, there still may be
potential for at least isolated severe wind/hail across the warm
sector over IL and southern WI where the air mass is clearly
uncapped. Only subtle lift will be required to initiate storms in
this air mass. The combination of storms along the MCV and any
additional lead storms may necessitate a severe thunderstorm watch
later this afternoon.
..Jewell.. 07/09/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...
LAT...LON 43839144 44049091 43768890 43318785 42888753 42888751
42308731 41708742 41328819 40629067 40629171 40719239
41049314 41449296 41859197 42379139 42939120 43189118
43839144
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