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Mesoscale Discussion 1162
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0539 PM CDT Thu Jul 09 2020
Areas affected...Portions of the upper Midwest
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 348...350...
Valid 092239Z - 100015Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 348, 350
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe weather threat, primarily in the form of
damaging wind gusts, will likely continue with the loosely organized
squall line across portions of WW248 and 250 for the next few hours.
DISCUSSION...Recent storm reports indicate that the ongoing cluster
of thunderstorms across portions of eastern Iowa and southern
Wisconsin is capable of producing occasional wind damage and near
severe gusts. Downstream of the ongoing convection, a warm and moist
environment is in place with surface temperatures ranging from 85-90
F with dewpoints near 70 F. Though mid-level lapse rates remain
modest, at 6.5-7 C/km, the warm and moist surface conditions are
supporting 1500-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE and little inhibition. The
moderate buoyancy should continue to allow storm propagation and new
updraft development downstream across northern Illinois and southern
Wisconsin. Damaging winds will be possible with stronger downdrafts
as the cluster moves east over the next several hours.
..Lyons/Hart.. 07/09/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...
LAT...LON 40928869 40819016 40879132 41309164 41859167 42359113
42979037 43638971 43808924 43498797 42998784 42108778
41508796 41358809 40958854 40928869
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