Mesoscale Discussion 1167
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0739 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

   Areas affected...Southern Kansas...Northern and Central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351...

   Valid 101239Z - 101445Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated wind damage and hail threat will be possible
   over the next couple of hours. The threat is expected to become more
   marginal with time and weather watch issuance is improbable across
   central and northern Oklahoma this morning.

   DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a 1009 mb low in the
   Texas Panhandle with backed southeasterly flow across the eastern
   Texas Panhandle and in much of Oklahoma. A very moist airmass is
   present across Oklahoma with surface dewpoints mostly in the lower
   70s F. This is contributing to moderate instability with the RAP
   estimating MLCAPE of 1500 to 2000 J/kg across much of the state. The
   small cluster of strong to severe storms will continue to move
   southward into this unstable airmass and may remain strong for a
   couple more hours. The wind profile on the VNX WSR-88D VWP shows
   gradually veering winds with height in the low to mid-levels with 30
   to 40 kt westerly flow 5 to 7 km above ground level. This should be
   enough to maintain a wind damage and hail threat with the ongoing
   storms. But the threat is expected to become more isolated/marginal
   later this morning. A watch probably will not be needed.

   ..Broyles.. 07/10/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...

   LAT...LON   37289867 37519835 37519769 37429699 36939665 36379656
               35779678 35449735 35419809 35659847 35859864 36139872
               36409873 36669875 36909875 37119875 37289867