Mesoscale Discussion 1169
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0940 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

   Areas affected...portions of Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 101440Z - 101615Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Strong to isolated severe wind gusts remain possible with
   a convective complex moving southward through central Oklahoma.  A
   WW issuance is not anticipated for this activity.

   DISCUSSION...An ongoing MCS over north-central/central Oklahoma has
   managed to maintain organization through the morning despite
   migrating southward into slightly less-supportive environment for
   continued organization.  Downstream shear values are only around
   20-30 knots and low-level flow ahead of the system is weak. 
   Nevertheless, the presence of 7.5-8 deg C/km mid-level lapse rates,
   weak inhibition, a well organized cold pool, and evident mid-level
   organization continues to support regeneration of convection along
   the western flank of the ongoing MCS as it migrates southward across
   Oklahoma.  45-60 mph surface wind gusts have been observed within
   the past hour, and although the wind-gust threat should continue to
   lessen with time, additional strong to severe wind gusts cannot be
   ruled out.  These storms should continue southward through the OKC
   metro area and I-40 corridor in central/western Oklahoma, though a
   weakening trend should continue through the day.

   ..Cook/Kerr.. 07/10/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   36819675 36769808 36489883 35669920 34819914 34309832
               34199676 34259617 34649577 35759578 36539607 36819675