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Mesoscale Discussion 1200
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0140 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2020
Areas affected...South central Alabama and adjacent portions of
western Georgia
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362...
Valid 121840Z - 122015Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362
continues.
SUMMARY...Further intensification of the thunderstorm cluster
overspreading central Alabama is possible into peak heating, and the
risk for potentially damaging wind gusts may begin to maximize
near/north of Selma into the Auburn area by 3-4 PM.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm intensity is being maintained along the
south-southeastward advancing (30-35+ kt) conglomerate surface cold
pool, particularly south and southeast of the mesoscale convective
vortex which has progressed to the south of Huntsville. Modest
2-hourly surface pressure falls have become evident in 18Z surface
observations, near and south of Birmingham, with roughly a 20 degree
temperature gradient across the gust front.
As the pre-convective environment continues to destabilize with
surface heating and boundary-layer moistening, additional
intensification of storms still appears possible during the next few
hours. With coinciding further strengthening of the surface cold
pool, the risk for potentially damaging wind gusts may begin to
maximize across south central Alabama by 20-21Z.
..Kerr.. 07/12/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...
LAT...LON 33368623 33468584 33008515 32638531 32218618 32288692
32808755 33178752 33298659 33368623
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