Mesoscale Discussion 1226
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0622 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2020

   Areas affected...Eastern CO to the northern TX Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 369...

   Valid 142322Z - 150115Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 369
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Convection should increase across southeast CO into
   southwest KS over the next few hours. New watch is possible
   downstream later this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered convection continues to gradually organize
   just east of the higher terrain, especially from El Paso County to
   Pueblo County CO. Visible satellite imagery supports this with
   expanding anvils and fresh updrafts. Over the next few hours this
   activity should migrate across southeastern CO, within an upslope
   flow regime, where more moist/buoyant air mass currently resides
   (MLCAPE 3000-4000 J/kg). Additionally, this region has significantly
   steeper lapse rates which should support more robust updrafts. With
   time, multiple thunderstorm clusters should emerge with a
   potentially larger complex expected to propagate across southwestern
   KS after sunset.

   ..Darrow.. 07/14/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   36030201 37460478 39900478 38470199 36030201