Mesoscale Discussion 1232
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1255 PM CDT Wed Jul 15 2020

   Areas affected...Portions of southern Florida

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 151755Z - 151930Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A few damaging wind gusts are possible this
   afternoon/early evening.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have started to develop in south-central
   Florida and along the sea breeze along the western shore. Expect
   additional storms to develop in the next 1 to 2 hours along
   intersecting outflow boundaries amid ~2500 J/kg MLCAPE per SPC
   mesoanalysis. In addition, the 12Z MFL/TBW RAOBs showed modest 6.5
   C/km mid-level lapse rates. Shear is very weak (less than 10 kts in
   both RAOBs), but the thermodynamic environment should support some
   strong single cell storms capable of producing isolated damaging
   winds as they collapse.

   ..Bentley/Guyer.. 07/15/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   28168238 27908161 27528111 26698099 26178077 25778034
               25448038 25238076 25538134 25888177 26328209 26668235
               27018258 27418271 27728274 28168238