Mesoscale Discussion 1239
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1012 PM CDT Wed Jul 15 2020

   Areas affected...Northeast NM...OK/TX Panhandle Region

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 377...

   Valid 160312Z - 160515Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 377
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Gusty winds and marginally severe hail will accompany
   convection across portions of the southern High Plains the next
   several hours.

   DISCUSSION...Convection that developed off the higher terrain of NM
   and southern CO has progressed about 100 miles downstream where some
   organization is currently observed. MCS has evolved along the NM/TX
   border with the leading squall line advancing northeast at roughly
   20 kt. This activity has struggled to produce more than isolated
   severe wind gusts over the last few hours, possibly due to outflow
   racing up to 15 miles ahead of the precip shield. Even so,
   strengthening LLJ across the TX South Plains should allow this
   activity to begin turning more east along the instability axis,
   characterized by MLCAPE of 1500-2000 J/kg. Gusty winds remain the
   primary threat.

   ..Darrow.. 07/16/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AMA...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   36880217 35310125 34910229 36590318 36880217