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Mesoscale Discussion 1296
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0918 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020
Areas affected...Western Nebraska/northwest Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 389...390...
Valid 210218Z - 210345Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 389, 390
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe wind/hail potential continues mostly across far
southwest Nebraska/northwest Kansas, and to a lesser extent across
the Nebraska Sandhills/west-central Nebraska, this evening in and
close to Severe Thunderstorm Watches 389/390.
DISCUSSION...Upscale quasi-linear growth has occurred across
southwest Nebraska with a 100-mile-extensive band of storms
continuing to spread south-southeastward from far southwest Nebraska
into northwest Kansas. While boundary layer inhibition has begun to
slowly increase, 80s F surface temperatures persist ahead of the
line with MLCAPE remaining in excess of 2000 J/kg. With some
increase noted in southeasterly low-level winds (1km) per the
Goodland WSR-88D VWP, increased low-level storm-relative inflow will
aid severe-storm persistence into/across far northwest Kansas in the
short-term with severe-caliber wind gusts/wind-driven hail a
possibility.
Another organized but less intense linear cluster ongoing across the
eastern Nebraska Panhandle/Cherry County at mid-evening will
continue southeastward. While some wind/hail remains possible,
overall storm intensity will likely be limited by increasingly
stable inflow owing to influences of prior convection and loss of
daytime heating.
..Guyer.. 07/21/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...
LAT...LON 42300140 42760047 42159953 40639940 39429924 39400107
40240201 41930257 42300140
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