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Mesoscale Discussion 1307
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0622 PM CDT Tue Jul 21 2020
Areas affected...parts of eastern Wyoming/eastern Colorado...into
portions of the Nebraska Panhandle
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 392...
Valid 212322Z - 220115Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 392
continues.
SUMMARY...Isolated storms, and attendant/local severe risk -- mainly
in the form of damaging wind gusts -- continue across the central
High Plains region.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows isolated storms ongoing across
portions of the BOU and CYS CWAs at this time, within an airmass
featuring 1000 to 1500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE. The storms are
initiating both over higher terrain, as a result of
east-southeasterly upslope low-level flow, and near various outflow
boundaries emanating from the ongoing storms.
Atop the low-level east-southeasterly flow lies a moderate/westerly
mid-level wind field. This is contributing to shear sufficient for
organized/weakly rotating storms. A few of the most intense cells
remain capable of producing large hail -- mainly in southeastern
Wyoming where shear is strongest. Meanwhile, gusty/locally damaging
winds -- aided by the deep dry boundary layer -- can also be
expected. Storms should begin to diminish gradually by early
evening.
..Goss.. 07/21/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 42360595 42280484 41830390 39900334 37710350 37760488
39530484 40380561 42360595
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