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Mesoscale Discussion 1371
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1223 PM CDT Sat Aug 01 2020
Areas affected...portions of North and South Carolina
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 011723Z - 011930Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Deep convection has developed in earnest across portions
of the discussion area, though the isolated nature of any
severe-wind threat should preclude the need for a WW issuance.
DISCUSSION...A strongly buoyant airmass has support scattered
thunderstorm development across portions of the discussion area over
the past hour or so. These storms are in a weakly sheared
environment, with meager southwesterly flow barely exceeding 20
knots through most of the profile. Weak/subtle convergence, weak
inhibition, and nearly 4000 J/kg MUCAPE was contributing to the
convective development, which may result in a few localized areas of
damaging winds over the course of the afternoon. The severe threat
will remain relatively isolated however, precluding a WW issuance.
..Cook.. 08/01/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...
LAT...LON 33928195 34798113 35697996 36257834 36187702 35457613
34667658 33717802 32807953 32308085 32788169 33578203
33928195
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