Mesoscale Discussion 1383
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1142 AM CDT Mon Aug 03 2020

   Areas affected...Northwest/North-Central GA...Far Northeast AL

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 031642Z - 031845Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few stronger storms capable of damaging wind gusts
   and/or isolated hail may occur sporadically over the next few hours.

   DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms have recently developed in
   the vicinity of a weak surface low and ahead of the broad upper
   troughing approaching the area. The air mass is moderately unstable,
   promoted by ample low-level moisture and cool mid-level temperatures
   (12Z FFC sounding sampled -9 deg C at 500 mb). This region is also
   on the southern periphery of slightly stronger upper flow within the
   upper trough, contributing to modest vertical shear (despite very
   weak low-level flow). A few stronger storms have already been noted,
   although updraft strength within these storms quickly waned. That
   overall trend is expected to continue, with a more pulse-like storm
   mode anticipated. A few of these storms may be able to produce a
   water-loaded downburst as the intensity pulses. An isolated instance
   or two of hail is also possible.

   ..Mosier/Kerr.. 08/03/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GSP...FFC...BMX...HUN...

   LAT...LON   33608581 34778547 34908364 33488354 33108510 33608581