Mesoscale Discussion 1431
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0346 AM CDT Sun Aug 09 2020

   Areas affected...Northeast KS...Southeast NE

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 090846Z - 091045Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A few strong storms are possible over southeast NE and
   northeast KS during the next few hours.

   DISCUSSION...A line of multicellular storms, extending from roughly
   35 miles east of HSI (in southeast NE) southward to about 20 miles
   northeast of HUT (in central KS), has developed and intensified over
   the past hour or so. This line developed along the leading edge of
   modest low-level jet extending from the TX Panhandle into central
   KS. Steep mid-level lapse rates are supporting moderate buoyancy and
   initially strong updrafts. However, vertical shear is modest and
   overall storm organization is weak. That trend is generally expected
   to continue, resulting in brief, strong updrafts with little severe
   potential. Given the hostile low-level thermodynamic environment and
   lack of more favorable vertical shear, these storms will likely
   dissipate within the next two hours or so.

   ..Mosier/Hart.. 08/09/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

   LAT...LON   39599786 40359804 40839836 41189826 41479739 41039676
               39849673 38239691 38049779 39599786