Mesoscale Discussion 1454
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0117 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020

   Areas affected...Northeast Alabama...Northwest Georgia...Eastern
   Tennessee...and far Western North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 101817Z - 102015Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Pulse storms developing with a few damaging wind gusts
   possible, watch issuance unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...Visible satellite/radar trends show widespread
   convective development occurring in response to strong diabatic
   heating. Ample ambient low-level moisture (dew point temperatures in
   the low to mid 70s) combined with day time heating has resulted in
   MLCAPE of 1500-2000 J/kg across the region. Despite moderate
   instability, flow throughout the troposphere is generally weak.
   Thus, pulse convection is expected to be the predominant mode,
   although some merging of outflow may allow the convection to
   coalesce. These outflows may produce sporadic damaging winds gusts
   with the strongest cells. However, widespread coverage is not
   expected, and therefore watch issuance is unlikely for the remainder
   of the afternoon.

   ..Karstens/Grams.. 08/10/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

   LAT...LON   33668378 33198490 33618703 34838762 35778734 36468601
               36248417 35118349 33668378