Mesoscale Discussion 1486
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1019 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

   Areas affected...far eastern ND into northwest MN

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 435...

   Valid 141519Z - 141645Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 435
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe wind gusts are possible across
   northwest MN over the next couple of hours.

   DISCUSSION...Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms will continue
   shifting east/northeast from near the Red River into northwest MN
   through midday. Storms currently near Fargo resulted in a peak
   measured wind gust of 48 kt at KFAR, and 51 kt on the NDAWN site at
   Fargo. This intensity may continue over the next couple of hours as
   the mature bow shifts east/northeast. However, overnight convection
   across much of northern/central MN has stunted the northward push of
   higher boundary layer moisture that exists further south across
   southern MN. Temperatures and dewpoints in the low 60s extend across
   much of northern MN, with strong capping noted in regional 12z RAOBs
   and 14z mesoanalysis. 

   While strong shear and upper forcing will remain over the region,
   contamination of the downstream boundary layer by overnight
   convection will likely prevent widespread severe. The expectation is
   that sporadic strong gusts to near 50-55 kt may continue the next
   couple of hours until the cluster weakens and/or moves north of the
   international border.

   ..Leitman.. 08/14/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...

   LAT...LON   47799703 48189642 48409539 48349438 47729431 46379468
               46019521 45769585 45869665 46019749 46319773 46459777
               47799703