Mesoscale Discussion 1490
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0436 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

   Areas affected...The TX and OK Panhandles

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 142136Z - 142300Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and damaging wind is possible
   through the evening. A watch is possible.

   DISCUSSION...Storms have formed in a deeply mixed environment across
   the TX panhandle with temperatures over 100 degrees and dewpoints in
   the low 60s east of the dryline. This has yielded 1500 to 3000
   MLCAPE across the region. Storms currently near Amarillo have been
   mostly unorganized thus far with errant storm motions. However, more
   organized storm modes are expected through the evening, especially
   farther north where effective shear is between 30 to 35 kts. Given
   the steep low and mid-level lapse rates, both large hail and
   damaging winds are possible. A watch is possible, although the
   overall threat may remain isolated.

   ..Bentley/Guyer.. 08/14/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

   LAT...LON   34770275 35760289 36480246 36790168 36770084 36640036
               35880004 35760003 34460014 33510034 32870062 32430077
               32320127 32650160 33810204 34040227 34770275