Mesoscale Discussion 1558
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1051 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2020

   Areas affected...Parts of the Florida Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 241551Z - 241715Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A tornado or two may accompany the stronger circulations
   that move ashore over the next couple of hours.

   DISCUSSION...An east-west band of relatively more intense
   convection, with embedded areas of occasionally strong low-level
   rotation, is currently approaching the shore of the western Florida
   Panhandle. Despite overcast skies and limited surface heating over
   land, surface temperatures/dewpoints in the upper 70s are
   contributing to MLCAPE values exceeding 1000 J/kg. Low-level shear
   is relatively modest (i.e. KTLH and Mesoanalysis depicting over 100
   m2/s2 0-1km SRH). As such, a couple of the more organized, intense
   low-level circulations may produce a couple tornadoes as the
   aforementioned band moves ashore. With the general motion of
   Tropical Storm Marco expected to remain westerly (along with an
   overall weakening trend in tropical cyclone intensity expected), the
   band of storms is expected to become increasingly displaced with
   time from the stronger kinematic wind field. As such, the severe
   threat is expected to remain relatively isolated in nature.

   ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 08/24/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...LIX...

   LAT...LON   30208847 30758837 30908772 30958750 30978614 30988574
               30728464 30108424 29618432 29618500 29888567 30088651
               30098739 30208847