Mesoscale Discussion 1569
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0109 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2020

   Areas affected...Central NY...Southern VT...NH...Southern
   ME...Western/Central MA

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 251809Z - 251945Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Increasing thunderstorm coverage is possible ahead of the
   front across New England. A few strong to severe storms are
   possible.

   DISCUSSION...Temperatures have warm into the 80s amid low 60s
   dewpoints ahead of the approaching cold front, with mesoanalysis
   indicating all of preceding convective inhibition has eroded. This
   destabilization is evidenced by better vertical development within
   the cloud field in recent visible satellite imagery and deeper
   convective cores within recent radar imagery. Even with this
   destabilization, relatively warm temperatures aloft, sampled well by
   the 16Z GYX sounding, are expected to limit buoyancy. Moderate
   mid-level flow and the resulting vertical shear may compensate for
   this less favorable thermodynamic environment to support a few
   strong to severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts and/or hail.
   Overall severe coverage is currently expected to be widely scattered
   to scattered and observational trends will be monitored closely.

   ..Mosier/Bunting.. 08/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...

   LAT...LON   43257427 44677082 45096887 44136864 43517019 42157241
               41827410 43257427