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Mesoscale Discussion 1622
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MD 1622 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1622
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0940 PM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

   Areas affected...southeast Colorado into western Kansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 290240Z - 290445Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A cluster of storms may persist through late evening from
   eastern Colorado into western Kansas, with localized severe gusts or
   hail possible.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has become better organized over
   southeast CO, producing strong outflow. While the surface air mass
   is cooler in this post-frontal regime northeast of the storms, it
   remains unstable. Given the substantial outflow with this system,
   lift may be maintained through forward propagation with good SR
   inflow. Other sporadic cells cannot be ruled out over southwest KS,
   in closer proximity to the residual steep lapse rates just above the
   boundary layer.

   ..Jewell/Guyer.. 08/29/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...

   LAT...LON   37830346 39010211 39190118 39180085 38920017 38559992
               38040019 37660082 37270189 37340240 37530313 37830346 

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