Mesoscale Discussion 1652
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1104 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2020

   Areas affected...portions of southwest into central MO

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 478...479...

   Valid 311604Z - 311730Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 478, 479
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Convection continues to organize and intensify across
   southwest into central MO. Damaging wind potential will persist into
   early afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Clusters of convection are becoming better organized
   late this morning from near Jefferson City to the Lake of the
   Ozarks, westward to Benton, Hickory and St. Clair Counties. Wind
   damage and estimated gusts to 60 mph have been reported over the
   past 45 minutes with this activity. MLCAPE and effective shear will
   remain favorable for continued organization and intensity as
   convection track east/southeast through early afternoon.
   Additionally, a 50-60 kt rear inflow jet between 3-4 kft is noted on
   recent VWP data from KEAX. Given a favorable downstream environment
   and organized nature of the developing MCS, expect severe potential
   to continue into early afternoon across WW 478 and WW 479, with
   damaging wind gusts being the main concern.

   ..Leitman.. 08/31/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

   LAT...LON   37959469 38249353 38539281 38989186 38939110 38819053
               38429029 37989045 37669119 37339242 37199367 37279444
               37499465 37679484 37959469