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Mesoscale Discussion 1730
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1730
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0709 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

   Areas affected...parts of southern Alabama and into western portions
   of the Florida Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 497...

   Valid 101209Z - 101415Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 497 continues.

   SUMMARY...Risk for brief tornadoes continues across Tornado Watch
   497, in conjunction with Tropical Storm Delta.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows the center of Tropical Storm
   Delta near the intersection of the Arkansas/Louisiana/Mississippi
   borders.  A primary band of convection east/southeast of Delta's
   center continues advancing eastward across southwestern Alabama,
   while individual convective elements move quickly northward.

   Within this band of low-topped convection, occasional cells have
   exhibited low-level rotation, with at least one confirmed tornado
   earlier this morning.  While a moist boundary layer resides ahead of
   the convective band, CAPE remains limited, particularly with
   northward extent into central Alabama.  Still, low-level flow
   veering/increasing with height is yielding shear quite favorable for
   occasional low-level rotation within sustained updrafts.  As such,
   the risk for brief tornadoes will continue across the watch area.

   ..Goss.. 10/10/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

   LAT...LON   31798779 31808703 31678656 30438638 29638700 29868775
               29948800 31798779 

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