Mesoscale Discussion 1733
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0338 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

   Areas affected...Northern New York...northern Vermont...northern New
   Hampshire...and far western Maine.

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499...

   Valid 102038Z - 102215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for damaging winds continues into the evening.

   DISCUSSION...Except for a few bowing segments, storms have been
   relatively unorganized this afternoon, likely due to the limited
   instability across northern New York and Vermont. There have been
   several reports of damaging winds in the area despite the
   unorganized storm mode. This is unsurprising given the CCX VWP now
   shows 40 kt flow at 1km and 60 kts at 3km. 

   Storm activity moving into western Maine seems to contain the
   strongest storms at this time. However, these storms are moving into
   an increasingly stable airmass with time as the better low-level
   moisture and cooler temperatures aloft are farther west. Therefore,
   it is unclear how long this activity will continue to produce
   damaging winds. No downstream watch has been issued up to this point
   due to the localized area affected and aforementioned weakening
   instability.

   ..Bentley/Thompson.. 10/10/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

   LAT...LON   45047473 45117279 45137162 45287109 45317076 45076994
               44617028 44267144 43957223 43657389 43337528 43267615
               43417649 44037638 44427598 44937519 45047473