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| Mesoscale Discussion 1746 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1746
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1223 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2020
Areas affected...Central MN
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 201723Z - 202030Z
SUMMARY...Periods of snow, occasionally heavy, will affect portions
of central MN through the afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Latest IR satellite and radar imagery show a mid-level
vorticity max over central SD. A developing deformation zone on the
north side of the impulse, along with a zone of enhanced low-level
warm advection extending east-southeastward across south-central MN
will help to raise precipitation rates through the next few hours.
A few lightning strikes have also been recently noted in northeast
SD, suggesting further augmentation of precipitation. Near surface
temperatures are marginal for accumulating snow, but relatively high
precipitation rates and a deep isothermal layer will result in at
least mesoscale bands of heavy snowfall rates approaching 1"/hr
across the discussion area.
Rapid mid-level drying and the back edge of important precipitation
is moving eastward at over 30 knots across SD, and will begin to
weaken snowfall rates from west-to-east over the area by
mid-afternoon.
..Hart.. 10/20/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...
LAT...LON 45809626 46149337 45539269 44649284 44389429 44579522
45039644 45809626
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