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Mesoscale Discussion 1756
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1756
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0541 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020

   Areas affected...TX Panhandle...Western/Central
   OK...South-Central/Southeast KS

   Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation 

   Valid 261041Z - 261445Z

   SUMMARY...Mixed winter precipitation, including sleet, will continue
   for the next several hours from the southern TX Panhandle through
   western/central OK and into south-central KS. Lightning and
   relatively high precipitation may occur within the stronger cells.

   DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery has shown an increase in
   precipitation coverage over the last few hours. This increase is
   likely the result of persistent isentropic ascent across the shallow
   front as well as strengthening large-scale ascent attendant to an
   approaching shortwave trough. Thus far, a predominantly banded
   precipitation structure has been observed, but radar trends across
   the east-central and southeast TX Panhandle suggest a transition to
   a more uniform precipitation shield may be occurring. Elevated
   instability has contributed to lightning within a few of these
   bands, particularly on the leading edge of the precipitation
   (currently from SNK northeastward through TUL and into far southeast
   KS).

   Given the expectation for continued ascent across the front and the
   radar trends suggesting higher precipitation coverage, the potential
   for freezing rain and sleet will continue from the southern TX
   Panhandle across western/central OK into south-central/southeast KS.
   Modest instability will contribute to occasionally stronger
   convection capable of lightning and relatively high precipitation
   rates throughout the morning.

   ..Mosier.. 10/26/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   35210211 37039936 37999711 36859597 35389806 33900070
               33120218 35210211 

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