Mesoscale Discussion 1761
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1101 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

   Areas affected...Eastern Kansas and far western Missouri

   Concerning...Freezing rain 

   Valid 271601Z - 271830Z

   SUMMARY...Light to moderate freezing rain will be possible through
   the late morning hours for east/southeast Kansas and into far
   western Missouri.

   DISCUSSION...Regional radar trends show a broad region of
   precipitation moving from northern OK into southeast KS and western
   MO. Surface temperatures across this area are largely in the upper
   20s and low 30s. Aloft, morning regional soundings as well as recent
   RAP forecast soundings show a 3-5 C warm nose between 800-700 mb
   that is fostering a mixture of freezing rain along with some sleet -
   as supported by recent surface observations and mPING reports across
   the area. Although most forecast guidance shows temperatures
   climbing above freezing by early afternoon, the onset of
   precipitation prior to this warm up will allow for at least a couple
   hours of light to perhaps moderate freezing rain and sleet.
   Temperature trends will be monitored through the day for the
   expected warm up, which, if delayed, could result in a prolonged
   period of freezing rain.

   ..Moore.. 10/27/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   39139593 39559556 39739487 39449444 38969425 38609428
               38019436 37369467 37039517 37059559 37089607 37349629
               37939615 38489603 39139593