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Mesoscale Discussion 1764
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1764
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0406 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020

   Areas affected...Northeast TX Panhandle...Eastern OK
   Panhandle...Western OK

   Concerning...Freezing rain 

   Valid 280906Z - 281300Z

   SUMMARY...Freezing rain will continue to spread eastward from the
   eastern TX/OK Panhandles into western OK over the next few hours.
   Precipitation rates from 0.05 to 0.15"/hr are possible.

   DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places the freezing line from
   just northwest of SWW in the TX Big Country north to HHF in the
   northeast TX Panhandle. The line then arcs southeastward to HBR in
   southeast OK, continuing northeastward to near END before arcing
   back northwestward into southeast KS. The trend over the past two
   hours has been for temperatures to warm a degree or two as the band
   of precipitation (currently extending across the eastern TX
   Panhandle into the TX Big Country) while areas in western OK have
   remained steady. Given these trends and current temperatures,
   freezing rain will likely continue to be the predominant
   precipitation type within the band moving across the eastern TX/OK
   Panhandles into western OK. 

   High reflectivity returns within this band are evidence of the
   melting occurring within the warm nose located between roughly 3000
   and 6000 ft. Lightning has been sparse within the precipitation band
   over the past hour, but some modest elevated instability exists
   downstream over western OK so a few isolated lightning flashes
   remain possible. Precipitation rates from 0.05 to 0.15"/hr are
   possible. Northeast TX Panhandle sites at BPC and HHF reported 0.09"
   and 0.06", respectively, of liquid precipitation during the last
   hour.

   ..Mosier.. 10/28/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   35740121 36870115 37250023 37119942 36599875 36319850
               35949836 35569847 34949908 34529977 34370032 34530096
               35740121 

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