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Mesoscale Discussion 1781
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1781
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0148 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2020

   Areas affected...northeastern Missouri and western/northern Illinois

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 504...

   Valid 101948Z - 102115Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 504
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 504.

   DISCUSSION...A fast-moving line of convection has evolved from near
   MLI to UIN to JEF over the past couple of hours.  Strong to severe
   wind gusts were reported in the past hour at Columbia (44 kts) and
   Jefferson City (47 kts) with the passage of the convection.  The
   storms remain in a strongly sheared environment, with low-level
   shear expected to gradually strengthen in tandem with a developing
   low over eastern Iowa.  With a general motion of 45-60 knots, the
   line is expected to reach northeastern portions of the WW (across
   north-central Illinois) around 21Z or so and central Illinois
   between 21Z and 22Z.  It is possible that a brief tornado threat
   will increase through that time frame as well.

   ..Cook.. 11/10/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...ARX...

   LAT...LON   41379153 41609152 41989125 42399088 42589052 42608989
               42408947 41868911 41278876 40698855 40208878 39698935
               39079008 38629081 38459156 38479199 38719214 39449201
               40239171 41379153 

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