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| Mesoscale Discussion 1782 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1782
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0330 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2020
Areas affected...parts of northern IL into southeast WI
Concerning...Tornado Watch 505...
Valid 102130Z - 102330Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 505 continues.
SUMMARY...The greatest potential for severe gusts/wind damage will
likely concentrate in a narrow corridor near and immediately south
of the stationary front as the squall line races northeast across
southeast WI during the next few hours.
DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows a mature squall line over northwest
IL where a mesolow is tracking northeastward along a stationary
front draped from near Rockford, IL to the greater Milwaukee, WI
metro. KMKX VAD data show 40-50 kt in the 2-3 km AGL layer and a
slight strengthening of the low-level wind profile may occur
immediately preceding the squall line as the larger-scale upper
system continues to pivot towards the western Great Lakes. The risk
for severe gusts is highest near and immediately south of the
boundary as a bowing portion of the squall line is more favorably
oriented with the lower tropospheric mean flow during the next few
hours.
..Smith.. 11/10/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...DVN...
LAT...LON 43498795 42778884 42138948 41848947 41648935 42778776
43358766 43498795
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