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Mesoscale Discussion 1886
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CST Tue Dec 29 2020
Areas affected...Northeast IL...Southeast WI...Far Northwest IN
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 292152Z - 300145Z
SUMMARY...Occasional snow rates of 1+ inch per hour will be likely
late this afternoon into the evening, as precipitation spreads in
from the west. A transition to sleet/freezing rain is expected
across much of this area later tonight.
DISCUSSION...At 2145Z, snow was increasing across northeast IL and
spreading into southeast WI, with rates approaching 1 inch per hour
likely ongoing across the southwest Chicago suburbs, where
saturation of an initially dry airmass has allowed for precipitation
to reach the ground. As a large area of precipitation continues to
spread in from the west, favorable ascent within the dendritic
growth zone will allow for heavier bands of snow with maximum rates
exceeding 1 inch per hour through 00Z. Moderate to locally heavy
precip rates will likely continue into the evening, though continued
low-level warm advection will result in an eventual changeover to
sleet or freezing rain later tonight across northeast IL into far
southeast WI.
..Dean.. 12/29/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...
LAT...LON 43078908 43388845 43348785 42488702 41798677 41268676
40818684 40798804 40958894 41278922 41428891 41558868
41838853 42498872 43078908
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