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Mesoscale Discussion 64
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0064
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0528 AM CST Sun Feb 07 2021

   Areas affected...Central Florida Peninsula

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 6...

   Valid 071128Z - 071330Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6 continues.

   SUMMARY...A marginal severe threat may linger across parts of the
   central Florida Peninsula over the next few hours. Additional
   weather watch issuance appears unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a cold front moving
   southward across the north-central Florida Peninsula. Thunderstorms
   are ongoing along the front from Near Tampa Bay northeastward to
   near Dayton Beach. The RAP is estimating MLCAPE to the south of the
   front in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. In addition, 0-6 km shear is
   estimated to be in the 45 to 55 kt range. This should be enough to
   continue a marginal severe threat over the next few hours. A few
   marginally severe wind gusts could occur along the leading edge of
   the stronger parts of the line. A marginal tornado threat could also
   exist with cells that show rotation. However, the threat should be
   too isolated to warrant the issuance of another watch.

   ..Broyles.. 02/07/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

   LAT...LON   27018204 26888270 27358298 27628311 27868318 28138314
               28178275 28398262 28428203 28338202 28318193 28958194
               28998162 29368167 29408143 29298139 29288113 29438111
               29478070 28568020 28288026 27918010 27848081 27698085
               27668152 27368152 27358204 27018204 

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Page last modified: February 07, 2021
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