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Mesoscale Discussion 625
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MD 625 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0625
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0617 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

   Areas affected...southeast Colorado through southwest Kansas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 175...

   Valid 152317Z - 160015Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 175 continues.

   SUMMARY...A relatively small window will exist through mid evening
   for brief isolated tornadoes from a portion of southeast Colorado
   through southwest Kansas.

   DISCUSSION...Early this evening a stationary boundary extends
   through southwest Kansas into southeast Colorado. Dewpoints are
   generally in the upper 50s to around 60 F in vicinity of this
   boundary contributing to somewhat lower LCLs and up to 2000 J/kg
   MLCAPE. Storms will continue spreading eastward off the higher
   terrain, and other storms may initiate on the boundary. Effective
   bulk shear around 35 kt will promote both multicell and marginal
   supercell structures, and some increase in 0-2 km hodograph size
   will occur as the low-level jet strengthens this evening. The
   primary threat for a few brief tornadoes is expected to occur as
   storms develop along or move east and interact with the boundary
   where low-level vorticity will be maximized.

   ..Dial.. 05/15/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...PUB...

   LAT...LON   37240133 37400237 37420350 38040358 38260247 37920123
               37240133 

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