ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 230121 
SPC MCD 230121 
TXZ000-230215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0707
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0821 PM CDT Sat May 22 2021

Areas affected...DFW Vicinity

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 230121Z - 230215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A brief tornado is possible for the next 1-2 hours near
DFW. No WW is expected for this conditional, short-duration threat.

DISCUSSION...A couple of stronger updrafts have developed southeast
of the DFW metro. This activity and a somewhat favorable low-level
wind profile are associated with an MCV in central Texas. TDAL shows
around 100 m2/s2 SRH on its VWP. These showers/storms have seen
lightning activity dwindle with time, but low-level rotation has
seen a small uptick recently. While the tornado threat is still
quite low, a brief spin-up could occur within the next hour or two
before storm depth/intensity lessens with increasing low-level
stabilization.

..Wendt/Dial.. 05/23/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...

LAT...LON   33069776 33369747 32909629 32279616 31949670 32089721
            32709787 33069776 

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