ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 310057 SPC MCD 310057 MNZ000-WIZ000-310200- Mesoscale Discussion 0816 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021 Areas affected...Northeast Minnesota Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 310057Z - 310200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms has intensified over northeast MN this evening. These storms will move toward the Arrowhead region with some risk of gusty or locally damaging wind gusts. No watch is anticipated. DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms has recently intensified over northeast MN, roughly along a line from northern Aitkin county into northern St. Louis county MN. This line of convection is moving southeastward at around 30 knots. The environment ahead of the line is characterized by dewpoints in the lower 50s and MLCAPE values less than 500 J/kg. Low level shear is also relatively weak, suggesting the overall risk of organized severe storms is quite limited. Nevertheless, forcing along a cold front and weak cold-pool generation may result in a few instances of gusty or locally damaging wind gusts. The storms should maintain intensity for only an hour or two, before nocturnal cooling lessens the CAPE and likely ends the risk. ..Hart/Guyer.. 05/31/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DLH... LAT...LON 46669371 47669249 47779136 47339104 46699203 46349310 46469360 46669371 NNNN