Mesoscale Discussion 0833
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0250 AM CDT Tue Jun 01 2021

   Areas affected...Portions of south TX

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232...

   Valid 010750Z - 010915Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated strong/gusty winds remain possible with a small
   cluster of storms.

   DISCUSSION...Strong velocities at low to mid levels have been noted
   from KDFX over the past 1-2 hours with a small cluster of convection
   moving slowly east-southeastward across south TX. Even though no
   severe wind or damage reports have been received as of 0750Z
   (Cotulla TX/KCOT recently measured a wind gust to 37 kt), isolated
   strong/gusty winds will remain possible in the short term. Stronger
   MLCIN likely exists to the south of this activity per recent
   mesoanalysis estimates, and recent tracking of the cluster suggests
   a more east-southeastward motion. The environment downstream remains
   at least somewhat conducive for surface-based storms, with around
   1000 J/kg of MLCAPE, 35-40 kt of deep-layer shear, and a moist
   low-level airmass present. But, the lack of even more boundary-layer
   instability may continue tend to limit the threat for severe wind
   gusts to some extent across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232.

   ..Gleason.. 06/01/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CRP...

   LAT...LON   28049967 28189932 28599919 28619834 28039831 27409881
               27349949 27689977 27779990 28049967