ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 010750 
SPC MCD 010750 
TXZ000-010915-

Mesoscale Discussion 0833
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0250 AM CDT Tue Jun 01 2021

Areas affected...Portions of south TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232...

Valid 010750Z - 010915Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated strong/gusty winds remain possible with a small
cluster of storms.

DISCUSSION...Strong velocities at low to mid levels have been noted
from KDFX over the past 1-2 hours with a small cluster of convection
moving slowly east-southeastward across south TX. Even though no
severe wind or damage reports have been received as of 0750Z
(Cotulla TX/KCOT recently measured a wind gust to 37 kt), isolated
strong/gusty winds will remain possible in the short term. Stronger
MLCIN likely exists to the south of this activity per recent
mesoanalysis estimates, and recent tracking of the cluster suggests
a more east-southeastward motion. The environment downstream remains
at least somewhat conducive for surface-based storms, with around
1000 J/kg of MLCAPE, 35-40 kt of deep-layer shear, and a moist
low-level airmass present. But, the lack of even more boundary-layer
instability may continue tend to limit the threat for severe wind
gusts to some extent across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232.

..Gleason.. 06/01/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...

LAT...LON   28049967 28189932 28599919 28619834 28039831 27409881
            27349949 27689977 27779990 28049967 

NNNN