Mesoscale Discussion 1411
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0954 AM CDT Sun Aug 01 2021

   Areas affected...Far Northeastern NC

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 011454Z - 011630Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts and even a tornado are
   possible across far northeastern NC for the next hour or two.

   DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places a low over central NC,
   with a warm front extending northeastward to near the far eastern
   NC/VA. This warm front is demarcated well by the 80 deg F isotherm.
   The thunderstorms ongoing along the eastern NC/VA border are
   occurring near this boundary, which should augment both mesoscale
   lift and surface vorticity. Recent updraft intensification as well
   as increased updraft rotation suggests this augmentation is
   occurring now. As a result, a localized threat for damaging wind
   gusts and even a brief tornado exists within this confined area of
   far northeast NC. The threat will likely last for the next hour or
   two, but the overall threat coverage is expected to remain too
   isolated for watch issuance.

   ..Mosier/Grams.. 08/01/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...

   LAT...LON   36587684 36497608 36317579 35827590 35917643 36027715
               36177760 36447751 36587684