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Mesoscale Discussion 1751
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1751
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0706 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

   Areas affected...Parts of southwestern into south central Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500...

   Valid 150006Z - 150130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500

   SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered storms posing a risk for
   severe hail and locally strong wind gusts may linger into the 8-9 PM
   CDT time frame.

   DISCUSSION...A zone of differential surface heating, beneath the
   periphery of the remnants of a plume of elevated mixed-layer air,
   has provide the focus for isolated intense thunderstorm development
   late this afternoon.  With relatively moist easterly low-level flow
   to the cool side of this front contributing to moderately large CAPE
   and strong deep layer shear, a splitting supercell formed to the
   east of Dodge City.  The remnants of this activity have been slowly
   propagating north/northeastward and south-southeastward within
   rather modest (around 20 kt) westerly ambient deep-layer mean flow,
   and may continue to pose a risk for severe hail and locally strong
   surface gusts for another hour or two.

   ..Kerr.. 09/15/2021

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   38279932 38559870 38019755 37419742 37189855 37459930
               37789975 38279932 

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