|Mesoscale Discussion 1751|
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Mesoscale Discussion 1751
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0706 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021
Areas affected...Parts of southwestern into south central Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500...
Valid 150006Z - 150130Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500
SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered storms posing a risk for
severe hail and locally strong wind gusts may linger into the 8-9 PM
CDT time frame.
DISCUSSION...A zone of differential surface heating, beneath the
periphery of the remnants of a plume of elevated mixed-layer air,
has provide the focus for isolated intense thunderstorm development
late this afternoon. With relatively moist easterly low-level flow
to the cool side of this front contributing to moderately large CAPE
and strong deep layer shear, a splitting supercell formed to the
east of Dodge City. The remnants of this activity have been slowly
propagating north/northeastward and south-southeastward within
rather modest (around 20 kt) westerly ambient deep-layer mean flow,
and may continue to pose a risk for severe hail and locally strong
surface gusts for another hour or two.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
LAT...LON 38279932 38559870 38019755 37419742 37189855 37459930
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