ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 300050 
SPC MCD 300050 
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-300215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0344
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 PM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022

Areas affected...Southeast Nebraska...southwest Iowa...eastern
Kansas...and far western Missouri.

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70...71...

Valid 300050Z - 300215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70, 71
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat is increasing through the
evening.

DISCUSSION...There has been an increase in convective
coverage/intensity over the past hour. This corresponds with the
increase in low-level flow as observed by the EAX VWP. The
convective line has become better organized across eastern Kansas
which may lead to an increasing severe wind threat over the next 1
to 2 hours as this line approaches Kansas City. In addition, the
low-level shear profile may support a QLCS threat during this same
period. These storms will eventually move east of the better
low-level moisture which should limit the severe threat further into
Missouri. Therefore, watch 70 may need to be locally extended 1 or 2
counties, but a new downstream watch is likely not needed.

..Bentley/Guyer.. 03/30/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   40559600 41099557 41179471 40069408 38809409 38259445
            38059524 37939612 37989669 38139694 38479692 38839642
            39399602 39949579 40559600 

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