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Mesoscale Discussion 382
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0382
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0658 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022

   Areas affected...Eastern North Carolina

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 88...

   Valid 312358Z - 010200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 88 continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for a brief tornado or two may continue for the
   next one or two hours for parts of eastern North Carolina.

   DISCUSSION...Latest GOES IR imagery and lightning data have shown a
   slight intensification of convection across eastern NC over the past
   1-2 hours. A few transient convergence zones/weak mesocyclones have
   been noted with more discrete convection. Although consolidated cold
   pool amalgamation is likely underway within the loosely organized
   line based on latest KMHX velocity data, the noted convective trends
   hint that robust convection may persist for the next 1-2 hours.
   Given very strong veering in the 0-2 km layer (based on KMHX VWP
   obs), transient mesocyclones, either embedded within the line or
   associated with any discrete convection to the east of the line, are
   possible and may pose a tornado threat. However, storm motions along
   the axis of lift/oriented along the line cast uncertainty into this
   potential.

   ..Moore.. 03/31/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MHX...

   LAT...LON   35037729 35547684 35867614 35857543 35497527 35037560
               34717622 34537654 34497716 34657736 34847736 35037729 

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