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Mesoscale Discussion 540 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0540
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1229 AM CDT Sat Apr 23 2022
Areas affected...western Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 144...
Valid 230529Z - 230730Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 144
continues.
SUMMARY...A threat of damaging winds, sporadic hail and perhaps a
brief tornado may persist for several more hours tonight, and a new
watch could eventually be needed. A watch coordination is expected
around 0545Z.
DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms currently extends along a cold
front from western NE into western KS and southeast CO, with the
strongest cells across northwest KS. Despite capping, the
substantial instability remains in place owing to steep lapse rates
aloft and dewpoints near 60 F. In addition, very strong low-level
convergence will continue to support new storm formation along the
cold front.
Tremendous low-level wind fields exist with southerly 850 mb winds
to 90 kt and surface winds gusting above severe limits well ahead of
the storms. Effective SRH is averaging 700-800 m2/s2 per objective
analysis, and this should not only support damaging wind potential
within the line but also isolated areas of QLCS potential. Should
storms along the cold front continue to increase in coverage and
intensity, a new watch would be needed.
..Jewell/Grams.. 04/23/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...
LAT...LON 37379986 37070048 37020153 37020225 37120242 37390248
37800225 38450184 38910159 39360143 39510092 39470022
39259960 38719913 37969938 37379986
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