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Mesoscale Discussion 631
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0631
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1151 PM CDT Mon May 02 2022

   Areas affected...portions of southeastern Oklahoma and adjacent
   north Texas.

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173...

   Valid 030451Z - 030615Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173

   SUMMARY...Local risk for damaging winds and/or hail continues within
   the southeastward-moving line of storms.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a rather well-organized line of
   storms advancing southeastward across southeastern Oklahoma and
   north Texas, near -- or just behind the front/outflow that continues
   progressing just ahead of the convection.

   Given that the storms are largely undercut -- and thus slightly
   elevated, the risk for damaging winds has decreased, and should
   continue to gradually do so overnight.  Meanwhile, a few stronger
   updrafts continue to exhibit occasional MESH cores suggestive of
   severe-caliber hail, including a storm currently crossing Jack
   County Texas.

   Overall, expect the severe threat to continue to gradually diminish,
   with a new WW likely not to be required south of the ongoing WW. 
   Still, local severe weather may remain possible, at least through
   the scheduled 03/07Z scheduled WW expiration.

   ..Goss.. 05/03/2022

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   33119865 33469837 33619678 34229521 34529485 34519454
               33379451 32959557 32919839 33119865 

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