ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 030451 
SPC MCD 030451 
TXZ000-OKZ000-030615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0631
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1151 PM CDT Mon May 02 2022

Areas affected...portions of southeastern Oklahoma and adjacent
north Texas.

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173...

Valid 030451Z - 030615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173
continues.

SUMMARY...Local risk for damaging winds and/or hail continues within
the southeastward-moving line of storms.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a rather well-organized line of
storms advancing southeastward across southeastern Oklahoma and
north Texas, near -- or just behind the front/outflow that continues
progressing just ahead of the convection.

Given that the storms are largely undercut -- and thus slightly
elevated, the risk for damaging winds has decreased, and should
continue to gradually do so overnight.  Meanwhile, a few stronger
updrafts continue to exhibit occasional MESH cores suggestive of
severe-caliber hail, including a storm currently crossing Jack
County Texas.

Overall, expect the severe threat to continue to gradually diminish,
with a new WW likely not to be required south of the ongoing WW. 
Still, local severe weather may remain possible, at least through
the scheduled 03/07Z scheduled WW expiration.

..Goss.. 05/03/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   33119865 33469837 33619678 34229521 34529485 34519454
            33379451 32959557 32919839 33119865 

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