Mesoscale Discussion 0714
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0706 PM CDT Tue May 10 2022
Areas affected...TX/OK Panhandles into the TX South Plains and
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 198...199...200...
Valid 110006Z - 110130Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 198, 199,
SUMMARY...The threat for rather widespread severe wind gusts will
continue as storms consolidate this evening, in addition to the
threat for isolated large hail.
DISCUSSION...Wind gusts over 80 mph have recently been noted with a
northward-moving thunderstorm cluster currently approaching
Amarillo. This cluster will eventually move into a somewhat less
unstable environment, though the hot and well-mixed environment into
the northwest TX Panhandle will still remain favorable for severe
wind gusts potentially in excess of 65 kt.
Further south, a surging outflow with a more easterly component of
motion has recently been noted north of Lubbock. If deep convection
can be sustained along the leading edge of the outflow, a separate
severe-wind producing cluster may move east-northeastward into the
southern TX Panhandle later this evening.
Across the eastern TX Panhandle, numerous hail producing storms
developed earlier this evening (with a couple reports of 2+"
diameter hail), but a trend toward storm consolidation has occurred
in this region as well, which could result in an increasing severe
There is some potential for one or more outflow-driven clusters to
spread into western OK with time, which would pose a threat of
severe wind gusts and perhaps isolated hail. Watch issuance is
possible into parts of western OK if this scenario appears
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
LAT...LON 33840260 35160245 36600199 36720095 36700054 36479964
35889925 34809997 34360058 34000113 33730174 33840260