Mesoscale Discussion 0792
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0451 PM CDT Mon May 16 2022

   Areas affected...Southwestern Mississippi...and eastern Louisiana

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 162151Z - 162315Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few strong to severe storms are possible through the
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...A few storms have recently developed along a weak wind
   shift moving through southern Mississippi. Shear is quite weak in
   this region, but MLCAPE is around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Therefore,
   instability may support some strong updraft/downdraft pairs with
   marginally severe hail and a few wind gusts, but a more organized
   severe weather threat is not anticipated.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 05/16/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...

   LAT...LON   30309137 30879154 31329156 31659123 31739073 31709012
               31558980 31008955 30478967 30118999 30149087 30309137