ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 190213 
SPC MCD 190213 
WIZ000-190315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0822
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0913 PM CDT Wed May 18 2022

Areas affected...North-central Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 190213Z - 190315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A threat for large hail will persist for the next hour or
so across central Wisconsin.

DISCUSSION...A few supercells have developed on the western
periphery of an ongoing MCS across central Wisconsin. The
instability is very weak in this region and decreasing. However,
shear is strong which has seemingly permitted these supercell
updrafts to exceed expectations given the weak instability. There
have been numerous reports of small hail with a few 1 to 1.25 inch
hail reports. Do not expect these storms to remain severe for that
much longer given the limited buoyancy, but they could remain
marginally severe for the next hour while storms remain in a
slightly warmer/more moist thermodynamic environment.

..Bentley/Guyer.. 05/19/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   45059089 45069039 44828955 44408916 43958909 43848979
            43979052 44209099 44529130 44869142 45059089 

NNNN