Mesoscale Discussion 0850
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1156 AM CDT Sat May 21 2022

   Areas affected...South Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 211656Z - 211900Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms capable of isolated hail and damaging wind gusts
   will be possible this afternoon. WW issuance is unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have recently begun increasing in
   coverage and intensity across SC, in association with a weak
   midlevel trough noted on WV imagery. While deep-layer shear is
   rather weak across the region, relatively cool midlevel temperatures
   and MLCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg will support a hail risk with
   stronger pulse storms and weak multicell clusters that may develop
   over time. In addition, relatively large PW values may support a
   threat of isolated wet microbursts.  Due to the relatively
   disorganized nature of the threat, watch issuance is unlikely.

   ..Dean/Hart.. 05/21/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   34097916 33317923 32338073 33358163 33938225 34588206
               34958152 34567996 34097916