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Mesoscale Discussion 1103
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1103
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0641 PM CDT Thu Jun 09 2022

   Areas affected...northeast New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle and
   surrounding areas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 336...

   Valid 092341Z - 100145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 336
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for severe hail and wind continues, and may
   spread southeastward across parts of northwest Texas and far
   southwest Oklahoma. An additional watch may be required.

   DISCUSSION...An axis of stronger MLCAPE currently stretched from
   northern TX and southern OK into western OK and the eastern
   Panhandles, with values over 3000 J/kg. Scattered storms persist
   within the surface trough from northeast NM into the TX/OK
   Panhandles, beneath modest northwest flow aloft. 

   Given the uncapped air mass downstream, outflow now being created
   over the area may serve as a focus for an MCS this evening. The
   initial cells may produce hail, but the primary concern may
   eventually be damaging wind gusts as a possible complex develops. As
   such, a new watch may be needed for parts of the TX Panhandle into
   northwest TX and southwest OK.

   ..Jewell.. 06/09/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   35450428 36050377 36460189 36380066 35119915 34429875
               34059910 34010036 34740238 35450428 

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