Click-to-scroll-up Image
Skip Navigation Links 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1269
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1269 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1269
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0602 PM CDT Thu Jun 23 2022

   Areas affected...Portions of central Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405...

   Valid 232302Z - 240100Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch 405. The greatest severe threat continues to be associated
   with a supercell structure over Russell County, where all severe
   hazards remain a concern. Other storms may pose a large
   hail/damaging gust-threat into the evening hours.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms persist across Severe
   Thunderstorm Watch 405, amid an environment characterized by 2500+
   MLCAPE, 40 kts of effective bulk shear, and locally higher low-level
   shear constrained to an east-west oriented baroclinic zone over
   central Kansas. Near the boundary, an HP supercell is thriving over
   Russell County, KS, where tornadoes were observed and where MRMS
   mosaic MESH depicts up to 2.5 inch diameter hail possible. KUEX,
   KDDC, and KICT velocity data depict a well-defined mid-level
   mesocyclone associated with the Russell County storm, suggesting
   that the greatest severe threat across the watch will likely be
   associated with this supercell for at least the next few hours,
   including the possibility for damaging gusts, severe hail, and
   perhaps another tornado.

   West of the supercell, scattered thunderstorms continue to pulse in
   intensity and these cells may briefly produce a damaging gust or
   severe hailstone, especially if the storms can avoid entraining
   convectively overturned air from the Russell County supercell. South
   and east of the supercell, a pristine airmass remains in place to
   support additional severe potential if storms can manage to develop
   before sunset.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/23/2022

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   38269999 38860085 39550074 40020019 40189945 40099851
               39699741 39059662 38469656 38029695 37999873 38269999 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
Page last modified: June 24, 2022
Information Quality
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities