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Mesoscale Discussion 248 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0248
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0140 PM CST Fri Mar 03 2023
Areas affected...northern Kentucky...far southeast Indiana and
southwest Ohio
Concerning...Tornado Watch 62...
Valid 031940Z - 032245Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 62 continues.
SUMMARY...A corridor of severe wind or brief tornado potential may
materialize through 00Z as the low travels northeastward toward
southwest Ohio.
DISCUSSION...A small arcing line of storms persists ahead of the
surface low, extending from southern Indiana toward the Louisville
KY area. This activity will continue to pose a damaging wind threat,
and a brief tornado remains possible as well as the line intersects
the warm front with enhanced shear and lift.
A leading area of rain and thunderstorms has limited destabilization
ahead of the cold pocket aloft, and a dry slot is further eroding
the moist layer from the southwest. As such, the area of severe
potential appears to be dwindling over time.
However, the low remains very strong, and cooling aloft will still
overspread the warm front as it lifts across northern Kentucky and
perhaps into far southwest Ohio after 21Z. As such, a new watch will
need to be considered just north of the existing watch.
..Jewell/Grams.. 03/03/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...PAH...
LAT...LON 37958710 38348626 39058512 39558465 39618419 39328400
38758389 38238420 37928459 37528546 37408618 37458668
37958710
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